Boavista vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
FAR
0 - 0
BOA
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
BOA
1 - 2
SLB
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
SPB
2 - 1
BOA
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
BOA
4 - 1
RDA
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
EST
0 - 0
BOA
36%
31%
33%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
PEN
1 - 1
VAR
45%
30%
25%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
PEN
0 - 1
FCP
9%
20%
70%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
FAR
4 - 1
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
PEN
0 - 3
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
SPB
1 - 1
PEN
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |