Primeira Liga round 12

Boavista vs Penafiel analysis

Boavista Penafiel
70 ELO 57
1.2% Tilt -17.5%
884º General ELO ranking 2175º
16º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
69.8%
Boavista
19.4%
Draw
10.8%
Penafiel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
Boavista
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.8%
Win probability
Penafiel
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boavista
-14%
+19%
Penafiel

ELO progression

Boavista
Penafiel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boavista
Boavista
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 1983
FAR
Farense
0 - 0
Boavista
BOA
53%
26%
21%
70 57 13 0
04 Dec. 1983
BOA
Boavista
1 - 2
Benfica
SLB
25%
26%
49%
70 88 18 0
27 Nov. 1983
SPB
Sporting Braga
2 - 1
Boavista
BOA
56%
25%
19%
71 68 3 -1
19 Nov. 1983
BOA
Boavista
4 - 1
RD Agueda
RDA
77%
16%
7%
71 48 23 0
16 Oct. 1983
EST
Estoril
0 - 0
Boavista
BOA
36%
31%
33%
71 59 12 0

Matches

Penafiel
Penafiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Dec. 1983
PEN
Penafiel
1 - 1
Varzim
VAR
45%
30%
25%
57 63 6 0
04 Dec. 1983
PEN
Penafiel
0 - 1
Porto
FCP
9%
20%
70%
57 88 31 0
27 Nov. 1983
FAR
Farense
4 - 1
Penafiel
PEN
61%
22%
17%
59 57 2 -2
19 Nov. 1983
PEN
Penafiel
0 - 3
Benfica
SLB
9%
18%
73%
59 88 29 0
16 Oct. 1983
SPB
Sporting Braga
1 - 1
Penafiel
PEN
70%
19%
11%
59 69 10 0