Boavista vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1982 |
BOA
1 - 1
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
UDL
1 - 0
BOA
40%
29%
30%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1982 |
BOA
1 - 3
POR
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
BOA
2 - 1
SLB
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
FCP
2 - 1
BOA
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
PEN
3 - 1
EST
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
AMO
1 - 1
PEN
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
PEN
3 - 1
UDL
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
POR
0 - 0
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |