Carioca 1 Primera Ronda round 8

Boavista SC vs Botafogo analysis

Boavista SC Botafogo
50 ELO 76
-4.1% Tilt 11.5%
4501º General ELO ranking 77º
151º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
12%
Boavista SC
20.7%
Draw
67.3%
Botafogo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
Boavista SC
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
67.3%
Win probability
Botafogo
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boavista SC
+9%
+17%
Botafogo

ELO progression

Boavista SC
Botafogo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boavista SC
Boavista SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2016
BON
Bonsucesso
1 - 2
Boavista SC
BOA
25%
25%
51%
49 44 5 0
26 Feb. 2016
AME
América RJ
1 - 1
Boavista SC
BOA
42%
24%
34%
49 48 1 0
21 Feb. 2016
BOA
Boavista SC
1 - 1
Volta Redonda
VOL
38%
26%
36%
49 53 4 0
14 Feb. 2016
BOA
Boavista SC
1 - 0
Madureira RJ
MAD
38%
26%
36%
48 52 4 +1
10 Feb. 2016
TIG
Tigres do Brasil
2 - 3
Boavista SC
BOA
22%
23%
55%
48 37 11 0

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2016
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
47%
27%
26%
76 78 2 0
25 Feb. 2016
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
36%
27%
37%
75 79 4 +1
21 Feb. 2016
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 1
Cabofriense
CAB
79%
16%
6%
75 44 31 0
13 Feb. 2016
RES
Resende
0 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
16%
22%
62%
75 53 22 0
10 Feb. 2016
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 0
Macaé Esporte
MAC
73%
18%
9%
75 55 20 0