Carioca 1 round 14

Boavista SC vs Botafogo analysis

Boavista SC Botafogo
59 ELO 82
-5.6% Tilt 7.1%
4519º General ELO ranking 77º
151º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
16.6%
Boavista SC
23.5%
Draw
59.9%
Botafogo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
Boavista SC
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.9%
Win probability
Botafogo
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boavista SC
-5%
+16%
Botafogo

ELO progression

Boavista SC
Botafogo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boavista SC
Boavista SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2014
BOA
Boavista SC
1 - 0
Volta Redonda
VOL
52%
25%
23%
57 55 2 0
05 Mar. 2014
MAC
Macaé Esporte
0 - 0
Boavista SC
BOA
37%
25%
39%
57 55 2 0
26 Feb. 2014
BOA
Boavista SC
2 - 1
Friburguense
FRI
51%
25%
24%
56 53 3 +1
23 Feb. 2014
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
3 - 0
Boavista SC
BOA
23%
24%
54%
58 48 10 -2
20 Feb. 2014
AUD
Audax Rio
2 - 1
Boavista SC
BOA
20%
21%
59%
58 48 10 0

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2014
IVT
Independiente del Valle
2 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
39%
27%
34%
82 77 5 0
09 Mar. 2014
BOT
Botafogo
0 - 2
Flamengo
FLA
52%
25%
24%
83 81 2 -1
06 Mar. 2014
AUD
Audax Rio
2 - 2
Botafogo
BOT
10%
19%
71%
83 48 35 0
01 Mar. 2014
BOT
Botafogo
0 - 2
Macaé Esporte
MAC
82%
13%
5%
83 52 31 0
26 Feb. 2014
UNI
Unión Española
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
38%
26%
36%
83 75 8 0