Carioca 1 Taça Guanabara round 10

Boavista SC vs Barra Mansa analysis

Boavista SC Barra Mansa
50 ELO 41
-3.2% Tilt 12%
4519º General ELO ranking 13823º
151º Country ELO ranking 502º
ELO win probability
57.8%
Boavista SC
23%
Draw
19.2%
Barra Mansa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
Boavista SC
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.2%
Win probability
Barra Mansa
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Boavista SC
+7%
+23%
Barra Mansa

ELO progression

Boavista SC
Barra Mansa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Boavista SC
Boavista SC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2015
BOA
Boavista SC
0 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
55%
24%
21%
50 45 5 0
07 Mar. 2015
BAN
Bangu
4 - 2
Boavista SC
BOA
38%
27%
36%
51 50 1 -1
04 Mar. 2015
BOA
Boavista SC
0 - 1
ABC
ABC
27%
27%
46%
51 62 11 0
01 Mar. 2015
BOA
Boavista SC
0 - 0
Volta Redonda
VOL
38%
27%
35%
51 57 6 0
22 Feb. 2015
MAC
Macaé Esporte
1 - 0
Boavista SC
BOA
48%
24%
28%
52 55 3 -1

Matches

Barra Mansa
Barra Mansa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 2015
BAN
Bangu
2 - 1
Barra Mansa
BAR
56%
25%
19%
43 52 9 0
08 Mar. 2015
BAR
Barra Mansa
0 - 1
Madureira RJ
MAD
28%
27%
45%
43 54 11 0
28 Feb. 2015
BAR
Barra Mansa
2 - 2
Cabofriense
CAB
29%
25%
47%
43 50 7 0
25 Feb. 2015
BAR
Barra Mansa
1 - 1
Resende
RES
31%
27%
42%
42 53 11 +1
19 Feb. 2015
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Barra Mansa
BAR
82%
13%
5%
42 77 35 0