Blumenthaler SV vs Union Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
49.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
16º
12º
50
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LEH
4 - 4
BLU
51%
20%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BLU
0 - 4
BRI
9%
13%
77%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TSS
3 - 1
BLU
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BLU
2 - 3
SVH
37%
22%
42%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
WOL
3 - 2
BLU
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 4
SCH
39%
22%
39%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TKA
1 - 1
UNI
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
VAT
39%
22%
39%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OSC
3 - 2
UNI
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 1
WER
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |