Blumenthaler SV vs Schwachhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
58.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
16º
12º
36
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blumenthaler SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TKA
1 - 2
BLU
30%
21%
49%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BLU
3 - 2
VAT
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
OSC
3 - 0
BLU
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BLU
3 - 3
GEE
15%
17%
69%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
WER
2 - 4
BLU
31%
21%
49%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Schwachhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
WOL
30%
21%
50%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
4 - 0
TKA
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
VAT
0 - 3
SCH
45%
21%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 0
WER
87%
9%
5%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OSC
6 - 3
SCH
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |