Blagnac vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blagnac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 0
MON
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 0
NIM
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
AGD
1 - 3
BLA
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BLA
2 - 1
OLY
57%
23%
20%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CRF
1 - 1
BLA
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 1
OLY
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CRF
3 - 4
CAS
82%
12%
6%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
FAB
21%
21%
59%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
TOU
0 - 0
CAS
69%
18%
13%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
AVE
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +3 |