Blacktown City Demons vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SYD
2 - 2
BLA
25%
22%
53%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 1
API
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
BLA
3 - 2
CCM
20%
21%
60%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
BLA
1 - 1
ROC
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 1
BLA
26%
23%
50%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
API
1 - 1
ROC
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
BLA
0 - 1
API
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
OLY
0 - 5
API
15%
18%
67%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
API
5 - 0
MAN
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SYD
1 - 2
API
28%
24%
49%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |