Blacktown City Demons vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
64.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blacktown City Demons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BLA
3 - 0
WSW
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CCM
1 - 1
BLA
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SYD
1 - 2
BLA
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SYD
0 - 2
BLA
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 2
STG
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 0
ADE
61%
20%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 4
ADE
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
WUF
3 - 3
ADE
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 2
MFC
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PER
2 - 4
ADE
33%
24%
42%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |