Blacks Power vs Gaddafi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
74%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
11º
14º
14º
31
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
52 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blacks Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
BPF
1 - 1
URA
8%
16%
76%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
UPD
3 - 0
BPF
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
BPF
1 - 0
MFC
5%
13%
82%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | +6 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BPF
1 - 1
KCC
6%
14%
80%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
AHS
2 - 0
BPF
93%
6%
2%
|
9 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Gaddafi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
GAD
0 - 0
MFC
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
VIP
2 - 0
GAD
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GAD
0 - 1
KCC
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AHS
2 - 1
GAD
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
GAD
0 - 0
WAK
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |