Premier League round 5

Blackpool vs Aston Villa analysis

Blackpool Aston Villa
78 ELO 79
-5.3% Tilt -10.5%
884º General ELO ranking 32º
43º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.3%
Blackpool
22.6%
Draw
24.1%
Aston Villa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
Blackpool
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.1%
Win probability
Aston Villa
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Blackpool
-10%
+3%
Aston Villa

ELO progression

Blackpool
Aston Villa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Blackpool
Blackpool
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 1963
BPO
Blackpool
0 - 1
West Ham
WHU
54%
22%
24%
79 79 0 0
31 Aug. 1963
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 2
Blackpool
BPO
60%
20%
19%
79 80 1 0
26 Aug. 1963
WHU
West Ham
3 - 1
Blackpool
BPO
63%
19%
18%
79 79 0 0
24 Aug. 1963
BPO
Blackpool
2 - 2
Sheffield United
SHE
57%
22%
21%
79 79 0 0
13 May. 1963
BPO
Blackpool
0 - 0
West Ham
WHU
55%
22%
23%
79 79 0 0

Matches

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 1963
STO
Stoke City
2 - 2
Aston Villa
ASV
44%
25%
32%
78 71 7 0
31 Aug. 1963
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 2
Blackburn Rovers
BBU
55%
23%
22%
78 80 2 0
26 Aug. 1963
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 3
Stoke City
STO
70%
18%
12%
79 70 9 -1
24 Aug. 1963
NTT
Nottingham Forest
0 - 1
Aston Villa
ASV
51%
23%
26%
79 78 1 0
27 May. 1963
ASV
Aston Villa
0 - 0
Birmingham City
BIR
69%
16%
14%
79 77 2 0