FA Cup Last 16
Global 1-0
Blackburn Rovers vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Blackburn Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
BBU
3 - 0
OPA
57%
24%
20%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2007 |
BBU
0 - 0
LEV
50%
24%
26%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ARS
0 - 0
BBU
77%
16%
8%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
LEV
3 - 2
BBU
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
EVE
1 - 0
BBU
40%
27%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
55%
22%
23%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
PSV
1 - 0
ARS
29%
27%
44%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ARS
0 - 0
BBU
77%
16%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 3
ARS
23%
27%
50%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 1
WIG
81%
13%
6%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |