Birmingham City vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
MUD
2 - 1
BIR
66%
19%
16%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
BIR
4 - 2
BOL
58%
20%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
SHE
2 - 0
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
BIR
2 - 0
NOT
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
BRI
0 - 0
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
STO
2 - 2
SUN
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
BBU
3 - 1
STO
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
STO
2 - 1
DER
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
STO
1 - 2
MUD
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
BOL
1 - 1
STO
78%
13%
9%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |