Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1934 |
EVE
2 - 0
BIR
71%
16%
12%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1934 |
SHW
2 - 1
BIR
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1933 |
BIR
0 - 0
ARS
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1933 |
BIR
4 - 2
SHE
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1933 |
SHE
2 - 1
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1934 |
MID
3 - 0
WBA
57%
21%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1934 |
MID
2 - 1
LEE
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1933 |
DER
2 - 0
MID
67%
18%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1933 |
MID
3 - 1
BBU
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 1933 |
BBU
0 - 0
MID
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |