Birmingham City vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1962 |
WHU
5 - 0
BIR
63%
19%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1962 |
LEI
3 - 0
BIR
69%
17%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1962 |
BIR
4 - 1
FUL
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1962 |
BIR
0 - 0
WBA
44%
23%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1962 |
SHW
5 - 0
BIR
67%
18%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1962 |
MAC
2 - 0
LEY
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1962 |
MAC
0 - 1
BBU
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1962 |
BPO
2 - 2
MAC
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1962 |
MUD
2 - 3
MAC
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1962 |
IPS
0 - 0
MAC
67%
17%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |