Birmingham City vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
WIG
2 - 0
BIR
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BIR
3 - 1
MAC
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
REA
2 - 1
BIR
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2008 |
BIR
1 - 1
NEW
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
OPA
4 - 2
BIR
59%
23%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
EVE
1 - 0
DER
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 0
EVE
66%
21%
13%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
EVE
1 - 1
WHU
64%
22%
14%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
FUL
1 - 0
EVE
31%
28%
42%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
EVE
2 - 0
FIO
58%
24%
18%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |