Birmingham City vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1929 |
BUR
4 - 0
BIR
59%
20%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1929 |
BIR
1 - 0
OPA
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
BIR
0 - 0
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1929 |
OPA
3 - 1
BIR
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1929 |
WHU
2 - 1
BIR
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1929 |
CAR
1 - 3
MAC
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1929 |
CAR
1 - 2
LIV
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1929 |
HUR
1 - 1
CAR
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1929 |
LIV
2 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1929 |
CAR
0 - 2
EVE
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |