Birmingham City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
BIR
1 - 0
MAC
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
EVE
4 - 1
BIR
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1985 |
BIR
3 - 1
OXF
52%
28%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
CHL
2 - 0
BIR
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1985 |
WAT
3 - 0
BIR
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
WBA
0 - 3
ASV
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
ASV
3 - 1
LUT
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1985 |
SOU
0 - 0
ASV
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 2
QPR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
ASV
2 - 2
LIV
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |