Birmingham City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1978 |
BIR
1 - 2
MID
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1978 |
LIV
2 - 3
BIR
74%
17%
10%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
BIR
2 - 3
LEE
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1978 |
MUD
1 - 2
BIR
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
BIR
4 - 5
CHL
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1978 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
54%
25%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
ASV
1 - 0
BRI
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
EVE
1 - 0
ASV
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1978 |
ASV
1 - 1
QPR
64%
21%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
MAC
2 - 0
ASV
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |