Birmingham City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
BUR
2 - 1
BIR
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
BIR
1 - 1
ASV
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
SHE
3 - 1
BIR
61%
20%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
BIR
2 - 2
BCF
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1927 |
BIR
3 - 2
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1927 |
ARS
3 - 1
MID
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
BBU
4 - 1
ARS
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
ARS
1 - 2
BOL
56%
22%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
SHW
1 - 1
ARS
46%
24%
31%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1927 |
ARS
2 - 2
LEI
63%
20%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |