Binissalem vs Felanitx analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+128%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
13º
13º
19
4º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 79 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 70 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 62 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 61 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 57 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 50 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 48 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 48 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 47 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 38 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 38 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 35 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
6 | 35 |
14º
|
7.5% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 32 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 32 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 30 |
17º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 28 |
18º
|
28% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
61.5% | 82% |
|
Relegation
|
34.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Binissalem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SDF
0 - 0
BNS
78%
16%
6%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CLL
0 - 0
BNS
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BNS
2 - 0
MER
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PIN
1 - 0
BNS
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BNS
0 - 2
CFP
27%
27%
46%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Felanitx
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FLN
3 - 4
POR
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FLN
1 - 0
MJG
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
JOR
0 - 1
FLN
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FLN
3 - 1
ALC
38%
24%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SNF
2 - 0
FLN
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |