Copa Libertadores Grupo D round 4

Deportivo Binacional vs River Plate analysis

Deportivo Binacional River Plate
68 ELO 85
17.4% Tilt 2.4%
18051º General ELO ranking 169º
46º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19.9%
Deportivo Binacional
22%
Draw
58.1%
River Plate

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
Deportivo Binacional
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58.1%
Win probability
River Plate
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Deportivo Binacional
-8%
+10%
River Plate

ELO progression

Deportivo Binacional
River Plate
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Deportivo Binacional
Deportivo Binacional
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2020
BIN
Deportivo Binacional
2 - 1
Deportivo Llacuabamba
LLA
66%
20%
14%
68 62 6 0
16 Sep. 2020
BIN
Deportivo Binacional
0 - 1
Liga de Quito
LIG
36%
26%
38%
68 80 12 0
11 Sep. 2020
AUN
Alianza Universidad
1 - 2
Deportivo Binacional
BIN
38%
26%
36%
68 64 4 0
08 Sep. 2020
BIN
Deportivo Binacional
0 - 0
Cienciano
CIE
45%
24%
31%
68 70 2 0
01 Sep. 2020
SAM
Univ. San Martín
0 - 0
Deportivo Binacional
BIN
39%
25%
36%
68 64 4 0

Matches

River Plate
River Plate
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2020
SAO
São Paulo
2 - 2
River Plate
RIV
32%
26%
42%
85 81 4 0
11 Mar. 2020
RIV
River Plate
8 - 0
Deportivo Binacional
BIN
68%
20%
12%
85 70 15 0
08 Mar. 2020
ATT
Atl. Tucumán
1 - 1
River Plate
RIV
25%
24%
51%
85 77 8 0
05 Mar. 2020
LIG
Liga de Quito
3 - 0
River Plate
RIV
27%
25%
48%
86 79 7 -1
29 Feb. 2020
RIV
River Plate
1 - 1
Defensa y Justicia
DYJ
62%
22%
15%
86 81 5 0