Bideford vs Melksham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bideford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 2
BID
23%
21%
57%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BID
1 - 1
WEL
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BID
1 - 1
BEM
38%
23%
40%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAR
4 - 3
BID
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
BID
44%
23%
33%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Melksham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
MEL
4 - 1
SHA
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
MEL
82%
12%
7%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 2
MEL
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 3
BAT
9%
17%
74%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DET
2 - 2
MEL
13%
16%
70%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | -1 |