Virsliga round 32

BFC Daugavpils vs FK RFS analysis

BFC Daugavpils FK RFS
64 ELO 77
3.8% Tilt -11.1%
2026º General ELO ranking 585º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
21.7%
BFC Daugavpils
23.4%
Draw
55%
FK RFS

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
BFC Daugavpils
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55%
Win probability
FK RFS
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
BFC Daugavpils
-20%
+36%
FK RFS

Points and table prediction

BFC Daugavpils
Their league position
FK RFS
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
90
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FK RFS
90
90
100%
Riga FC
87
87
100%
Valmiera FC
55
64
100%
FK Auda
60
60
100%
BFC Daugavpils
42
42
100%
FK Liepāja
39
39
100%
FK Metta
36
36
100%
FK Tukums 2000
35
35
100%
Grobiņa
29
29
100%
FS Jelgava
10º
25
25
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
BFC Daugavpils
FK RFS
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

BFC Daugavpils
FK RFS
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

BFC Daugavpils
BFC Daugavpils
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2024
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
1 - 1
FK Metta
FSM
46%
24%
30%
65 62 3 0
21 Sep. 2024
FKT
FK Tukums 2000
0 - 0
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
50%
24%
26%
65 61 4 0
17 Sep. 2024
RIG
FK RFS
4 - 1
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
74%
17%
9%
65 76 11 0
14 Sep. 2024
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
4 - 0
Grobiņa
GRO
38%
25%
38%
64 65 1 +1
01 Sep. 2024
FKJ
FS Jelgava
0 - 0
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
34%
28%
38%
64 57 7 0

Matches

FK RFS
FK RFS
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2024
RIG
FK RFS
2 - 2
Galatasaray SK
GAL
32%
23%
45%
77 85 8 0
30 Sep. 2024
FKJ
FS Jelgava
0 - 2
FK RFS
RIG
12%
20%
68%
76 57 19 +1
26 Sep. 2024
STB
FCSB
4 - 1
FK RFS
RIG
45%
23%
32%
77 77 0 -1
23 Sep. 2024
RIG
FK RFS
2 - 1
Riga FC
CAR
53%
21%
25%
77 77 0 0
20 Sep. 2024
RIG
FK RFS
2 - 0
FK Liepāja
LIE
58%
22%
21%
76 73 3 +1