BFC Daugavpils vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
5º
90
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
FSM
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 0
BFC
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
BFC
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
4 - 0
GRO
38%
25%
38%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 0
BFC
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 2
GAL
32%
23%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
FKJ
0 - 2
RIG
12%
20%
68%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
STB
4 - 1
RIG
45%
23%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 1
CAR
53%
21%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
2 - 0
LIE
58%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |