BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
5º
60
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
87 | 87 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 5
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BFC
0 - 3
RIG
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BFC
1 - 1
FSM
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 0
BFC
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 1
BFC
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
AUD
3 - 0
FKJ
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
RIG
1 - 2
AUD
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
2 - 1
AUD
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 1
FKT
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 3
AUD
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |