Beşiktaş vs Mersin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
BJK
2 - 1
OFS
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
KAS
1 - 3
BJK
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
BJK
1 - 1
TRA
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FEN
3 - 0
BJK
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
BJK
0 - 1
SIV
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mersin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
GIR
0 - 3
MER
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
IST
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
KAS
2 - 2
MER
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MER
1 - 2
KAY
31%
28%
42%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 1
MER
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |