Europa League 1/32
Global 4-2
Beşiktaş vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beşiktaş
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BJK
2 - 3
TRA
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
BJK
3 - 1
KON
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
DEN
0 - 2
BJK
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
BJK
2 - 1
GAZ
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 0
BJK
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
RIL
1 - 3
CSK
27%
26%
46%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
CSK
4 - 0
SVA
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2006 |
HAJ
1 - 1
CSK
37%
28%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LOV
0 - 1
CSK
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
CSK
3 - 0
LPL
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |