Besa Kavajë vs Tomori Berat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+94%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
11º
8º
43
3º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Besa Kavajë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
BES
3 - 2
BYL
20%
26%
55%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BES
2 - 1
BES
56%
23%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ERZ
4 - 1
BES
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BES
1 - 1
BUT
56%
23%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 0
BES
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tomori Berat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
KOR
1 - 0
TOM
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 1
POG
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
TUR
4 - 3
TOM
22%
24%
53%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
TOM
0 - 1
BYL
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BES
3 - 3
TOM
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |