Berwick Rangers vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
52.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berwick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
QUE
1 - 1
BER
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
HIB
5 - 0
BER
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
STR
2 - 1
BER
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BER
4 - 2
THE
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
DUM
0 - 2
BER
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 1
LIV
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
STJ
3 - 0
LIV
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LIV
4 - 2
DUN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 1
LIV
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
LIV
5 - 0
STI
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |