Beroe vs Svetkavitsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
13.8%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
VID
0 - 1
BER
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BER
2 - 0
MON
55%
27%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
BER
1 - 1
LPL
25%
27%
48%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
CSK
1 - 0
BER
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BER
3 - 1
KAL
63%
24%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Svetkavitsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
SVE
0 - 1
LPL
8%
20%
72%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
CSK
3 - 0
SVE
88%
10%
2%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SVE
1 - 0
KAL
31%
28%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
CHB
6 - 0
SVE
85%
12%
3%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SVE
1 - 1
LSO
10%
22%
68%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | +1 |