BFC Dynamo vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1997 |
LAS
3 - 0
BFC
41%
27%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
BFC
1 - 1
WAC
65%
21%
15%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
BFC
3 - 1
SSV
66%
20%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
PLA
2 - 0
BFC
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
BFC
0 - 0
COT
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1997 |
ERZ
1 - 5
WAC
78%
14%
7%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1997 |
PLA
0 - 0
ERZ
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
ERZ
2 - 2
COT
28%
26%
47%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SAC
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1997 |
FCU
0 - 1
ERZ
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |