Bergnäsets vs Umeå FC Akademi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+110%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
8º
3º
24
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 66 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 63 |
2º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 48 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 44 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 43 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 36 |
8º
|
99% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 17 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergnäsets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
IFA
0 - 4
BER
25%
21%
54%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
GIF
37%
23%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 3
BER
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
THO
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
BOD
2 - 0
BER
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Umeå FC Akademi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
UAK
2 - 0
OST
10%
16%
74%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
IFA
3 - 3
UAK
65%
17%
17%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UAK
2 - 3
SKE
6%
14%
80%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KFF
2 - 0
UAK
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
UAK
1 - 0
FIF
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |