Bergheim vs UFC Maria Alm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.9%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
KUC
4 - 1
BER
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BER
3 - 0
HAL
80%
13%
8%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 2
BER
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
PUC
0 - 1
BER
43%
22%
34%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BER
0 - 2
GRO
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UMA
0 - 2
GRO
5%
11%
84%
|
6 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
WAL
11 - 0
UMA
90%
7%
3%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UMA
0 - 2
ALT
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
STR
5 - 1
UMA
93%
5%
2%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
UMA
0 - 1
UNI
10%
17%
74%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |