Bergerac vs Marignane Gignac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
16º
11º
22
2º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
25 | 55 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 52 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 48 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 43 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 42 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 42 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 41 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
18 | 36 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 35 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 34 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 34 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
23% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
JUR
1 - 2
BER
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
AND
0 - 0
BER
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BER
1 - 3
CAN
36%
28%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
BER
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GRA
2 - 0
BER
49%
25%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MGG
2 - 7
IST
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FRE
0 - 1
MGG
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MGG
1 - 0
ANG
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
HYE
1 - 1
MGG
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MGG
1 - 2
LES
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |