Bergara KE Sub 19 vs Indautxu Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+193%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
18º
13º
14
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
21 | 73 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 69 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
27 | 68 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 65 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 58 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 52 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 49 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 45 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 44 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 44 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 41 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 37 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 36 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 35 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 33 |
16º
|
11% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 33 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 23 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergara KE Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
BER
33%
23%
44%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BER
0 - 0
BCF
40%
23%
37%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HER
4 - 1
BER
49%
23%
29%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
CDB
44%
22%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 0
BER
29%
22%
49%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Indautxu Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
IND
2 - 2
ZAR
40%
22%
39%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 1
IND
47%
22%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
IND
2 - 3
ANT
32%
22%
46%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EIB
1 - 3
IND
63%
18%
19%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
IND
3 - 3
DEP
28%
22%
50%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |