Bergantiños FC vs SD Compostela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
11º
10º
21
8º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 73 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 69 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 57 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 57 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 55 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 55 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 54 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 50 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 49 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 48 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 43 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 43 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 42 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 30 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 20 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 22.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
65% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
10.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
BER
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
MAR
21%
23%
55%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BER
2 - 1
AVI
50%
26%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GIM
1 - 3
BER
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
LAR
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SD Compostela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
COX
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
COM
0 - 1
ALA
11%
20%
68%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AVI
0 - 0
COM
52%
26%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
CDG
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
COM
3 - 2
PBL
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |