Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1972 |
FAR
2 - 5
SLB
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
61%
22%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
VIT
1 - 3
SLB
20%
26%
53%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
SLB
6 - 0
FCP
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1972 |
SCP
2 - 0
UFT
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1972 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
61%
22%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
SCP
3 - 2
TIR
93%
6%
2%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
BMA
0 - 1
SCP
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
BEL
2 - 3
SCP
26%
28%
47%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |