Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 7-3
Benfica vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
4.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.2%
7-0
3%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.4%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.9%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1965 |
INT
1 - 0
SLB
69%
16%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1965 |
SLB
3 - 0
FAB
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
FAB
2 - 1
SLB
28%
21%
51%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
VIT
1 - 2
SLB
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1965 |
SLB
4 - 0
GYO
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
BIS
2 - 3
OLH
16%
20%
64%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
OLH
4 - 0
BIS
86%
10%
4%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
OLH
1 - 1
VST
39%
27%
34%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
VAR
5 - 2
OLH
67%
19%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
OLH
1 - 1
LEX
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |