Primeira Liga round 27

Benfica vs Marítimo analysis

Benfica Marítimo
83 ELO 74
8.4% Tilt 2.3%
76º General ELO ranking 1242º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
71.7%
Benfica
17.8%
Draw
10.4%
Marítimo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
Benfica
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.4%
Win probability
Marítimo
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Benfica
+6%
+4%
Marítimo

ELO progression

Benfica
Marítimo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2001
CAM
Campomaiorense
1 - 1
Benfica
SLB
17%
23%
60%
83 60 23 0
18 Mar. 2001
SLB
Benfica
2 - 3
Paços de Ferreira
PAÇ
77%
15%
8%
83 69 14 0
10 Mar. 2001
BEL
Os Belenenses
1 - 0
Benfica
SLB
20%
25%
55%
83 68 15 0
04 Mar. 2001
SPB
Sporting Braga
3 - 1
Benfica
SLB
30%
25%
45%
84 74 10 -1
25 Feb. 2001
SLB
Benfica
0 - 0
Boavista
BOA
58%
22%
19%
84 83 1 0

Matches

Marítimo
Marítimo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2001
BOA
Boavista
0 - 1
Marítimo
MAR
75%
16%
9%
74 83 9 0
17 Mar. 2001
EST
CF Estrela Amadora
0 - 1
Marítimo
MAR
34%
29%
37%
74 64 10 0
11 Mar. 2001
MAR
Marítimo
2 - 1
União de Leiria
UDL
54%
25%
21%
73 71 2 +1
04 Mar. 2001
BMA
Beira Mar SC
2 - 0
Marítimo
MAR
39%
28%
33%
74 68 6 -1
18 Feb. 2001
AVE
Desportivo Aves
1 - 1
Marítimo
MAR
24%
28%
48%
74 58 16 0