Europa League Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Benfica vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
OLH
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARO
0 - 2
SLB
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
AZA
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
SLB
4 - 0
RIO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2014 |
UDI
0 - 2
JUV
20%
26%
54%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 1
LYO
68%
20%
13%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
LIV
82%
13%
5%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
LYO
0 - 1
JUV
26%
26%
48%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |