Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
SPB
2 - 1
SLB
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1999 |
SLB
5 - 0
SAL
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
UDL
1 - 1
SLB
22%
26%
52%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
SLB
0 - 3
BOA
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
ALV
0 - 2
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
FCP
2 - 0
CAM
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPB
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
SAL
1 - 3
FCP
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
FCP
3 - 1
UDL
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
BOA
0 - 0
FCP
31%
25%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |