Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
25.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
SLB
2 - 1
ULI
73%
14%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
VST
2 - 5
SLB
45%
22%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1935 |
SLB
7 - 2
APO
73%
15%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
49%
21%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
ACA
2 - 2
SLB
37%
21%
42%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
ACA
2 - 4
FCP
32%
21%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
63%
18%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1935 |
FCP
4 - 2
SCP
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1935 |
APO
0 - 3
FCP
38%
21%
41%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
ULI
0 - 2
FCP
38%
21%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |