Benfica vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1997 |
SLB
0 - 0
BAS
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
RIO
3 - 1
SLB
15%
23%
62%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
BAS
1 - 0
SLB
35%
27%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
SLB
1 - 1
ACA
79%
16%
6%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1997 |
FAR
0 - 0
BOA
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1997 |
VIT
2 - 0
FAR
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
FAR
1 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
BEL
0 - 3
FAR
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
SPB
2 - 2
FAR
58%
23%
18%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |