Benfica vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.6%
Win probability
3.9
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.4%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.1%
5-0
9.8%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
13%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
4.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.7%
1.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
SLB
1 - 0
B19
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
33%
26%
40%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
TOR
0 - 0
SLB
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
SLB
2 - 1
VAR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
VIT
0 - 1
SLB
28%
26%
47%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
ESP
2 - 1
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
ESP
3 - 2
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
BOA
1 - 1
ESP
82%
13%
5%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ESP
1 - 0
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
VIT
2 - 0
ESP
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |