Super Cup Final
Global 4-0
Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
52%
26%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1989 |
BUD
0 - 2
SLB
34%
30%
36%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
SLB
7 - 0
PEN
80%
15%
6%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1989 |
SLB
4 - 0
DER
87%
10%
4%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
NAC
1 - 4
SLB
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 0
UNM
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1989 |
BOA
4 - 2
BEL
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1989 |
MON
3 - 0
BEL
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 0
TIR
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 1
MON
50%
27%
24%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |