Benfica vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1986 |
SLB
4 - 1
PEN
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
BOA
1 - 0
SLB
25%
27%
49%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
SLB
1 - 2
SCP
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 0
SLB
11%
22%
67%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
BEL
0 - 0
PEN
61%
24%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
SAL
0 - 1
BEL
52%
29%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 0
SPB
50%
22%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
BEL
0 - 1
SLB
20%
25%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1986 |
SPC
0 - 0
BEL
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |