Benfica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
ORI
0 - 0
SLB
14%
23%
63%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
SLB
2 - 0
VST
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 1
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
SLB
0 - 0
CZJ
66%
19%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
VST
8 - 0
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 4
VIT
34%
29%
36%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
FCP
5 - 0
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACA
49%
27%
25%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
OLH
3 - 5
ATL
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |