Benfica vs Atlético CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
4.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.3%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
7.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
1.3%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
6%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
15.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
6.7%
4.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 4
SLB
20%
18%
62%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 3
FCP
75%
13%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
VIT
2 - 2
SLB
10%
14%
76%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
54%
19%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
SAL
92%
6%
3%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
ATL
2 - 2
SCP
18%
18%
64%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
ATL
8 - 0
ACA
77%
13%
10%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1944 |
BEL
1 - 3
ATL
82%
10%
7%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 4
ATL
41%
22%
38%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
VST
4 - 4
ATL
42%
23%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |