Benfica Sub 15 vs Belenenses Sub 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
1º
1º
10
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
VIT
2 - 2
BNF
30%
23%
46%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BNF
6 - 0
ACA
86%
10%
4%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TON
0 - 5
BNF
7%
15%
79%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
POR
2 - 2
BNF
49%
22%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BNF
4 - 0
BRA
65%
18%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Belenenses Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
BLN
1 - 2
SCP
18%
21%
62%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
VIT
5 - 0
BLN
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BLN
1 - 2
BOA
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
BLN
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
BLN
1 - 0
ACA
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +2 |